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Trade Corporate Bankruptcy Risk

The first prediction market focused exclusively on credit events. No politics. No sports. Just financial markets.

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Credit Risk. Now Tradeable.

Wall Street has traded credit default swaps for decades - an $8 trillion market that's been locked away from everyone else. Until now. ZScoreX lets you trade binary contracts on whether major companies will file for bankruptcy. Simple yes/no positions with transparent pricing and instant settlement in USDC.

Why Trade Bankruptcy Risk?

Uncorrelated Alpha

Bankruptcy risk doesn't move with Bitcoin, equities, or election cycles. Add genuine diversification to your trading portfolio.

Information Edge

Credit markets signal distress months before headlines. If you can read the signals, you can trade ahead of the crowd.

Asymmetric Payouts

Binary contracts mean defined risk and outsized upside. Buy low-probability events cheap, or sell premium on companies that will survive.

24/7 Markets

Trade anytime. Settle in USDC. No banks, no brokers, no business hours.

Simple. Transparent. Tradeable.

Pick a Company

Browse contracts on major public companies. Each contract asks one question: Will [Company] file for bankruptcy by [Date]?

Take a Position

Buy YES if you think bankruptcy is likely. Buy NO if you think the company survives. Prices reflect real-time market probability.

Collect Your Payout

Contracts settle at $100 (bankruptcy) or $0 (no bankruptcy). Payouts in USDC, instantly to your wallet.

Expert Credit Analysis

In-depth bankruptcy risk research to inform your trading decisions. Read our latest analysis on companies with elevated credit risk.

AI Infrastructure

CoreWeave: Bankruptcy Risk Analysis

CoreWeave combines explosive 130%+ revenue growth with classic distress signals. Z-Score of 0.66 places the company firmly in bankruptcy danger zone with $16B+ in debt. Our comprehensive analysis examines whether AI infrastructure darling can survive its debt load.

Z-Score: 0.66 (Deep Distress)
Interest Coverage: 0.2x
2026 Debt Maturity: $3.9B
Enterprise Software

Oracle: Bankruptcy Risk & AI Infrastructure Bet

Oracle's unprecedented $35-50B annual AI capex is driving rapid credit deterioration despite investment-grade ratings. CDS spreads have doubled to 104-126 bps as the software giant transforms into capital-intensive infrastructure provider. Will Oracle's $53B revenue base support 6-8x leverage by FY2028?

Z-Score: 2.49-3.70 (Grey/Safe)
Interest Coverage: 6.2x
Total Debt: $91B → $200B+
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Markets Worth Watching

Distressed Tech

AI infrastructure companies burning cash, overleveraged software firms, and pandemic-era growth stories facing reality. Tech credit stress is creating trading opportunities.

Retail & Consumer

Rising rates, shifting consumer spending, and margin compression. Which retailers survive the shakeout?

Real Estate & Finance

Commercial real estate distress rippling through regional banks and REITs. The next chapter of the credit cycle is being written now.

Built Different

Pure Financial Markets

No election betting. No sports gambling. We're building serious credit markets, not entertainment.

Institutional-Grade Data

Our settlement oracle uses the same data sources the credit desks at major banks rely on. Transparent methodology, auditable results.

Real Liquidity

Tight spreads on major names. Market makers providing depth, not illiquid orderbooks with phantom bids.

USDC Native

Deposit, trade, and withdraw in USDC. No bank wires, no waiting, no friction.

Transparent Settlement

Clear contract terms, objective triggers, no disputes. When a company files Chapter 11 or Chapter 7, contracts settle automatically.

Non-US Focus

Built for international traders who want access to US corporate credit markets without the regulatory overhead.

Ready to Trade Credit?

Join traders who understand that the most interesting markets aren't elections or sports scores - they're the financial events that actually move the economy.

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